Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000135 0.000150 0.000167 0.000186 0.000207 0.000230 0.000256
2025-09-07 0.000112 0.000132 0.000156 0.000185 0.000219 0.000258 0.000307
2025-09-14 0.000094 0.000118 0.000146 0.000183 0.000228 0.000283 0.000355
2025-09-21 0.000083 0.000109 0.000142 0.000185 0.000242 0.000314 0.000413
2025-09-28 0.000074 0.000101 0.000136 0.000186 0.000254 0.000343 0.000471
2025-10-05 0.000066 0.000093 0.000131 0.000185 0.000262 0.000367 0.000524
2025-10-12 0.000061 0.000089 0.000129 0.000189 0.000277 0.000402 0.000594
2025-10-19 0.000055 0.000084 0.000125 0.000189 0.000286 0.000429 0.000656
2025-10-26 0.000051 0.000079 0.000121 0.000189 0.000295 0.000455 0.000718
2025-11-02 0.000046 0.000074 0.000117 0.000187 0.000300 0.000477 0.000773
2025-11-09 0.000043 0.000071 0.000114 0.000188 0.000311 0.000506 0.000844
2025-11-16 0.000039 0.000066 0.000110 0.000186 0.000314 0.000525 0.000898
2025-11-23 0.000036 0.000063 0.000107 0.000185 0.000321 0.000549 0.000966
2025-11-30 0.000034 0.000060 0.000104 0.000185 0.000329 0.000577 0.001041
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000057 0.000101 0.000183 0.000334 0.000600 0.001109
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000055 0.000100 0.000186 0.000347 0.000638 0.001209
2025-12-21 0.000028 0.000053 0.000098 0.000187 0.000357 0.000671 0.001303
2025-12-28 0.000026 0.000050 0.000096 0.000186 0.000363 0.000697 0.001383
2026-01-04 0.000025 0.000049 0.000096 0.000190 0.000379 0.000743 0.001507
2026-01-11 0.000023 0.000048 0.000094 0.000190 0.000387 0.000775 0.001606
2026-01-18 0.000022 0.000046 0.000092 0.000190 0.000395 0.000806 0.001707
2026-01-25 0.000021 0.000044 0.000089 0.000188 0.000399 0.000830 0.001792
2026-02-01 0.000020 0.000042 0.000088 0.000190 0.000409 0.000867 0.001911